86 Equi-distant Time Series
Within the context of this handbook a time series is defined as a series of chronologically ordered values about some variable of interest that have been observed at regular time intervals. The term “equi-distant” does not imply that the time intervals between observations is exactly equal. Rather it is assumed that we can treat the time intervals as if they were equal because this allows us to employ easier types of analysis.
Here are two examples of non-equi-distant time series:
- quotes and trades on the stock market
- tax changes imposed by the Government
Here are a few examples of equi-distant time series:
- monthly sales data (even if the number of working days is not the same for every month)
- daily returns on the stock market (even if there are no trades on holidays and during the weekend)
- monthly tax levels (sampled at the end of month - even if taxes change the first day of the month)
- monthly (total) number of observed sparrow eggs in a local community (even if many months contain zeroes)
Non-equi-distant time series can be converted to equi-distant time series by means of:
- summing (over regular time intervals)
- averaging (over regular time intervals)
- selection (such as an opening or closing price)
- interpolation (of missing periods)
In any case it is important to understand that the so-called “sampling frequency” causes artifacts in time series that should be treated appropriately. For instance, some business cycles or seasonal effects may be artificially caused by the process that converts a non-equi-distant into an equi-distant time series. In addition, the diagnostic tools that are used to investigate the dynamical properties of time series are (to some extent) artifacts of the sampling frequency. The statistical methods that employ non-equal time intervals are beyond the scope of this document.
86.1 Example
Suppose a website records each transaction with an irregular timestamp. If we aggregate all transactions by month (sum of sales or average price per month), we obtain an equi-distant monthly time series. This allows us to use the diagnostics in Section 87.5, Section 88.6, and Section 92.6.