• Descriptive
    • Moments
    • Concentration
    • Central Tendency
    • Variability
    • Stem-and-Leaf Plot
    • Histogram & Frequency Table
    • Data Quality Forensics
    • Conditional EDA
    • Quantiles
    • Kernel Density Estimation
    • Normal QQ Plot
    • Bootstrap Plot

    • Multivariate Descriptive Statistics
  • Distributions
    • Binomial Probabilities
    • Geometric Probabilities
    • Negative Binomial Probabilities
    • Hypergeometric Probabilities
    • Multinomial Probabilities
    • Dirichlet
    • Poisson Probabilities

    • Exponential
    • Gamma
    • Erlang
    • Weibull
    • Rayleigh
    • Maxwell-Boltzmann
    • Lognormal
    • Pareto
    • Inverse Gamma
    • Inverse Chi-Square

    • Beta
    • Power
    • Beta Prime (Inv. Beta)
    • Triangular

    • Normal (area)
    • Logistic
    • Laplace
    • Cauchy (standard)
    • Cauchy (location-scale)
    • Gumbel
    • Fréchet
    • Generalized Extreme Value

    • Normal RNG
    • ML Fitting
    • Tukey Lambda PPCC
    • Box-Cox Normality Plot
    • Noncentral t
    • Noncentral F
    • Sample Correlation r

    • Empirical Tests
  • Hypotheses
    • Theoretical Aspects of Hypothesis Testing
    • Bayesian Inference
    • Minimum Sample Size

    • Empirical Tests
    • Multivariate (pair-wise) Testing
  • Models
    • Manual Model Building
    • Guided Model Building
  • Time Series
    • Time Series Plot
    • Decomposition
    • Exponential Smoothing

    • Blocked Bootstrap Plot
    • Mean Plot
    • (P)ACF
    • VRM
    • Standard Deviation-Mean Plot
    • Spectral Analysis
    • ARIMA

    • Cross Correlation Function
    • Granger Causality
  1. Hypothesis Testing
  2. 104  Statistical Test of the Population Mean with unknown Variance
  • Preface
  • Getting Started
    • 1  Introduction
    • 2  Why Do We Need Innovative Technology?
    • 3  Basic Definitions
    • 4  The Big Picture: Why We Analyze Data
  • Introduction to Probability
    • 5  Definitions of Probability
    • 6  Jeffreys’ axiom system
    • 7  Bayes’ Theorem
    • 8  Sensitivity and Specificity
    • 9  Naive Bayes Classifier
    • 10  Law of Large Numbers

    • 11  Problems
  • Probability Distributions
    • 12  Bernoulli Distribution
    • 13  Binomial Distribution
    • 14  Geometric Distribution
    • 15  Negative Binomial Distribution
    • 16  Hypergeometric Distribution
    • 17  Multinomial Distribution
    • 18  Poisson Distribution

    • 19  Uniform Distribution (Rectangular Distribution)
    • 20  Normal Distribution (Gaussian Distribution)
    • 21  Gaussian Naive Bayes Classifier
    • 22  Chi Distribution
    • 23  Chi-squared Distribution (1 parameter)
    • 24  Chi-squared Distribution (2 parameters)
    • 25  Student t-Distribution
    • 26  Fisher F-Distribution
    • 27  Exponential Distribution
    • 28  Lognormal Distribution
    • 29  Gamma Distribution
    • 30  Beta Distribution
    • 31  Weibull Distribution
    • 32  Pareto Distribution
    • 33  Inverse Gamma Distribution
    • 34  Rayleigh Distribution
    • 35  Erlang Distribution
    • 36  Logistic Distribution
    • 37  Laplace Distribution
    • 38  Gumbel Distribution
    • 39  Cauchy Distribution
    • 40  Triangular Distribution
    • 41  Power Distribution
    • 42  Beta Prime Distribution
    • 43  Sample Correlation Distribution
    • 44  Dirichlet Distribution
    • 45  Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) Distribution
    • 46  Frechet Distribution
    • 47  Noncentral t Distribution
    • 48  Noncentral F Distribution
    • 49  Inverse Chi-Squared Distribution
    • 50  Maxwell-Boltzmann Distribution
    • 51  Distribution Relationship Map

    • 52  Problems
  • Descriptive Statistics & Exploratory Data Analysis
    • 53  Types of Data
    • 54  Datasheets

    • 55  Frequency Plot (Bar Plot)
    • 56  Frequency Table
    • 57  Contingency Table
    • 58  Binomial Classification Metrics
    • 59  Confusion Matrix
    • 60  ROC Analysis

    • 61  Stem-and-Leaf Plot
    • 62  Histogram
    • 63  Data Quality Forensics
    • 64  Quantiles
    • 65  Central Tendency
    • 66  Variability
    • 67  Skewness & Kurtosis
    • 68  Concentration
    • 69  Notched Boxplot
    • 70  Scatterplot
    • 71  Pearson Correlation
    • 72  Rank Correlation
    • 73  Partial Pearson Correlation
    • 74  Simple Linear Regression
    • 75  Moments
    • 76  Quantile-Quantile Plot (QQ Plot)
    • 77  Normal Probability Plot
    • 78  Probability Plot Correlation Coefficient Plot (PPCC Plot)
    • 79  Box-Cox Normality Plot
    • 80  Kernel Density Estimation
    • 81  Bivariate Kernel Density Plot
    • 82  Conditional EDA: Panel Diagnostics
    • 83  Bootstrap Plot (Central Tendency)
    • 84  Survey Scores Rank Order Comparison
    • 85  Cronbach Alpha

    • 86  Equi-distant Time Series
    • 87  Time Series Plot (Run Sequence Plot)
    • 88  Mean Plot
    • 89  Blocked Bootstrap Plot (Central Tendency)
    • 90  Standard Deviation-Mean Plot
    • 91  Variance Reduction Matrix
    • 92  (Partial) Autocorrelation Function
    • 93  Periodogram & Cumulative Periodogram

    • 94  Problems
  • Hypothesis Testing
    • 95  Normal Distributions revisited
    • 96  The Population
    • 97  The Sample
    • 98  The One-Sided Hypothesis Test
    • 99  The Two-Sided Hypothesis Test
    • 100  When to use a one-sided or two-sided test?
    • 101  What if \(\sigma\) is unknown?
    • 102  The Central Limit Theorem (revisited)
    • 103  Statistical Test of the Population Mean with known Variance
    • 104  Statistical Test of the Population Mean with unknown Variance
    • 105  Statistical Test of the Variance
    • 106  Statistical Test of the Population Proportion
    • 107  Statistical Test of the Standard Deviation \(\sigma\)
    • 108  Statistical Test of the difference between Means -- Independent/Unpaired Samples
    • 109  Statistical Test of the difference between Means -- Dependent/Paired Samples
    • 110  Statistical Test of the difference between Variances -- Independent/Unpaired Samples

    • 111  Hypothesis Testing for Research Purposes
    • 112  Decision Thresholds, Alpha, and Confidence Levels
    • 113  Bayesian Inference for Decision-Making
    • 114  One Sample t-Test
    • 115  Skewness & Kurtosis Tests
    • 116  Paired Two Sample t-Test
    • 117  Wilcoxon Signed-Rank Test
    • 118  Unpaired Two Sample t-Test
    • 119  Unpaired Two Sample Welch Test
    • 120  Two One-Sided Tests (TOST) for Equivalence
    • 121  Mann-Whitney U test (Wilcoxon Rank-Sum Test)
    • 122  Bayesian Two Sample Test
    • 123  Median Test based on Notched Boxplots
    • 124  Chi-Squared Tests for Count Data
    • 125  Kolmogorov-Smirnov Test
    • 126  One Way Analysis of Variance (1-way ANOVA)
    • 127  Kruskal-Wallis Test
    • 128  Two Way Analysis of Variance (2-way ANOVA)
    • 129  Repeated Measures ANOVA
    • 130  Friedman Test
    • 131  Testing Correlations
    • 132  A Note on Causality

    • 133  Problems
  • Regression Models
    • 134  Simple Linear Regression Model (SLRM)
    • 135  Multiple Linear Regression Model (MLRM)
    • 136  Logistic Regression
    • 137  Generalized Linear Models
    • 138  Multinomial and Ordinal Logistic Regression
    • 139  Cox Proportional Hazards Regression
    • 140  Conditional Inference Trees
    • 141  Leaf Diagnostics for Conditional Inference Trees
    • 142  Conditional Random Forests
    • 143  Hypothesis Testing with Linear Regression Models (from a Practical Point of View)

    • 144  Problems
  • Introduction to Time Series Analysis
    • 145  Case: the Market of Health and Personal Care Products
    • 146  Decomposition of Time Series
    • 147  Ad hoc Forecasting of Time Series
  • Box-Jenkins Analysis
    • 148  Introduction to Box-Jenkins Analysis
    • 149  Theoretical Concepts
    • 150  Stationarity
    • 151  Identifying ARMA parameters
    • 152  Estimating ARMA Parameters and Residual Diagnostics
    • 153  Forecasting with ARIMA models
    • 154  Intervention Analysis
    • 155  Cross-Correlation Function
    • 156  Transfer Function Noise Models
    • 157  General-to-Specific Modeling
  • Model Building Strategies
    • 158  Introduction to Model Building Strategies
    • 159  Manual Model Building
    • 160  Model Validation
    • 161  Regularization Methods
    • 162  Hyperparameter Optimization Strategies
    • 163  Guided Model Building in Practice
    • 164  Diagnostics, Revision, and Guided Forecasting
    • 165  Leakage, Target Encoding, and Robust Regression
  • References
  • Appendices
    • Appendices
    • A  Method Selection Guide
    • B  Presentations and Teaching Materials
    • C  R Language Concepts for Statistical Computing
    • D  Matrix Algebra
    • E  Standard Normal Table (Gaussian Table)
    • F  Critical values of Student’s \(t\) distribution with \(\nu\) degrees of freedom
    • G  Upper-tail critical values of the \(\chi^2\)-distribution with \(\nu\) degrees of freedom
    • H  Lower-tail critical values of the \(\chi^2\)-distribution with \(\nu\) degrees of freedom

Table of contents

  • 104.1 Theory
    • 104.1.1 Case 1 (denominator \(n\) convention)
    • 104.1.2 Case 2 (standard unbiased sample variance)
  • 104.2 Software
  • 104.3 Practical Example
  1. Hypothesis Testing
  2. 104  Statistical Test of the Population Mean with unknown Variance

104  Statistical Test of the Population Mean with unknown Variance

104.1 Theory

104.1.1 Case 1 (denominator \(n\) convention)

Assume that

\[ \begin{cases} U = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu}{\frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}} \sim \text{N}(0,1) \\ V = \frac{ns^2}{\sigma^2} \sim \chi_{n-1}^2\end{cases} \]

where

\[ \bar{x} \sim \text{N} \left( \mu, \frac{\sigma^2}{n} \right) \]

and

\[ \begin{cases} s^2 = \frac{\sum_{i=1}^{n}\left( x_i - \bar{x} \right)^2}{n} \\ \bar{x} = \frac{1}{n} \sum_{i=1}^{n} x_i\end{cases} \]

and assume that \(U\) and \(V\) are independent.

Since the t-density is defined as

\[ \frac{U}{\sqrt{\frac{V}{n-1}}} = \frac{\text{N}(0,1)}{\sqrt{\frac{\chi_{n-1}^2}{n-1}}} \sim t_{n-1} \]

it follows that

\[ \begin{align*}\frac{\frac{\bar{x} - \mu}{\frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}}}{\sqrt{\frac{\frac{ns^2}{\sigma^2}}{n-1}}} &= \frac{\bar{x} -\mu}{\frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}} \times \frac{1}{\frac{s}{\sigma}\sqrt{\frac{n}{n-1}}} \\&= \frac{\bar{x} - \mu}{\frac{s}{\sqrt{n-1}}} \sim t_{n-1}\end{align*} \]

104.1.2 Case 2 (standard unbiased sample variance)

Case 2 uses the usual unbiased estimator of the variance (denominator \(n-1\)), which is the convention used in most textbooks and software (including t.test() in R).

Assume that

\[ \begin{cases}U = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu}{\frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}} \sim \text{N}(0,1) \\V = \frac{(n-1)s^2}{\sigma^2} \sim \chi_{n-1}^2\end{cases} \]

where

\[ \bar{x} \sim \text{N} \left( \mu, \frac{\sigma^2}{n} \right) \]

and

\[ \begin{cases}s^2 = \frac{\sum_{i=1}^{n}\left( x_i - \bar{x} \right)^2}{n-1} \\\bar{x} = \frac{1}{n} \sum_{i=1}^{n} x_i\end{cases} \]

and assume that \(U\) and \(V\) are independent.

Since the t-density is defined as

\[ \frac{U}{\sqrt{\frac{V}{n-1}}} = \frac{\text{N}(0,1)}{\sqrt{\frac{\chi_{n-1}^2}{n-1}}} \sim t_{n-1} \]

it follows that

\[ \begin{align*}\frac{\frac{\bar{x} - \mu}{\frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}}}{\sqrt{\frac{\frac{(n-1)s^2}{\sigma^2}}{n-1}}} &= \frac{\bar{x} -\mu}{\frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}} \times \frac{1}{\frac{s}{\sigma}} \\&= \frac{\bar{x} - \mu}{\frac{s}{\sqrt{n}}} \sim t_{n-1}\end{align*} \]

104.2 Software

There are two R modules available to preform the one sample t-test. These are the URLs on the public website:

  • One Sample T-Test using Confidence Intervals:
    https://compute.wessa.net/rwasp_hypothesismeanu.wasp
  • One Sample T-Test using p-values:
    https://compute.wessa.net/rwasp_onesampletests_mean.wasp

In RFC these R modules can be found under the “Hypotheses / Empirical Tests” menu item.

To compute the One Sample T-Test on your local machine, the following script can be used in the R console:

set.seed(123)
x <- runif(25, 20, 40)
# compute confidence intervals
par1 = 0.95 #Confidence
par2 = 30 #Null Hypothesis
len <- length(x)
df <- len - 1
sd <- sd(x)
mx <- mean(x)
delta2 <- abs(qt((1-par1)/2,df)) * sd / sqrt(len)
delta1 <- abs(qt((1-par1),df)) * sd / sqrt(len)
#Sample size
len
#Sample standard deviation
sd
#Sample Mean
mx
#2-sided Confidence Interval
dum <- paste('[',mx-delta2)
dum <- paste(dum,',')
dum <- paste(dum,mx+delta2)
dum <- paste(dum,']')
dum
#Left-sided Confidence Interval
dum <- paste('[',mx-delta1)
dum <- paste(dum,', +inf ]')
dum
#Right-sided Confidence Interval
dum <- paste('[ -inf,',mx+delta1)
dum <- paste(dum,']')
dum
# compute two-sided interval and p-value
par1 = 'two.sided'
par2 = 0.95 #Confidence
par3 = 20 #Null Hypothesis
(tt <- t.test(x,mu=par3,alternative=par1,conf.level=par2))
[1] 25
[1] 6.010489
[1] 31.91119
[1] "[ 29.4301862828312 , 34.3922024969133 ]"
[1] "[ 29.8545466508001 , +inf ]"
[1] "[ -inf, 33.9678421289444 ]"

    One Sample t-test

data:  x
t = 9.9087, df = 24, p-value = 5.878e-10
alternative hypothesis: true mean is not equal to 20
95 percent confidence interval:
 29.43019 34.39220
sample estimates:
mean of x 
 31.91119 

104.3 Practical Example

A sample of intrinsic motivation scores was obtained from students in a statistics course. We wish to test the following hypothesis:

\[ \begin{cases}\text{H}_0: \mu = 19.8 \\\text{H}_A: \mu \neq 19.8\end{cases} \]

The sample data and computational results are available in the R module shown below. Do we have to accept or reject the Null Hypothesis if we choose a type I error of 3%?

This is a two-sided test because the alternative is pre-specified as \(\text{H}_A:\mu \neq 19.8\).

Interactive Shiny app (click to load).
Open in new tab

Answer: the sample mean \(\bar{x} \simeq 20.06778\) is significantly different from \(\mu_0 = 19.8\) because the p-value is \(0.02471 < 0.03\).

103  Statistical Test of the Population Mean with known Variance
105  Statistical Test of the Variance

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